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In the electronic trading session on the night of Father's Day, the $8 threshold was surpassed. Then, the following morning, the March '09 futures contract opened around $8.00. Are these signs that the daily trading range for the nearby contracts will soon see an 8 in front of them?
While it's certainly within the realm of possibility, this week's weather forecast is the big reason why $8 corn may not be an inevitability just yet.
"Right now, the forecast for this week is mostly dry. We have had a lot of flooding, but most of that has been factored into the market already," says Grainanalyst.com floor trader and market analyst Vic Lespinasse. "To make it go higher from here [in the short term], we need some additional new weather problems. Right now, we've rallied enough, but that's not to say we won't rally further if the weather turns bad again."
Moving further into this summer, Lespinasse adds that, with the critical points in the growing season for both corn and soybeans still ahead, the crops could rebound from the disastrous weather, from tornadoes to flooding, that's hit many farmers in the Midwest this spring.
"If the weather's favorable from here on out, the critical times for corn are still ahead of us -- July for corn and August for beans," he says. "The jury is still out. It may not be a bumper crop, but still could be a good one.
"I think we've gone high enough for the time-being," Lespinasse adds.
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