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Bergman Grain Wire 7.19.13

Doug Bergman 07/19/2013 @ 11:07am Originally from a grain and livestock farm in central Illinois, Doug Bergman began his brokerage career at Iowa Grain Company before moving on to a broker/analyst role at MF Global. Doug currently runs the agricultural trading desk at RCM Asset Management, providing trading and hedging solutions to commercial grain and livestock customers as well as speculative traders. Doug provides his customers with timely research and analysis, producing three daily research reports. Doug still takes an active role in the family farm.

DOUG, BERGMAN +1 312-870-1503

VP - Agricultural Derivatives

dbergman@rcmam.com

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Market Commentary | US

7/19/2013, 8:00 CST

COMMODITIES | AGRICULTURE

Bergman Morning Wire

 

CU -3 ¾     CZ -5 ½     SQ +10 ¾      SX +¾      WU +1 ½       KWU –½       MWU +¼        

     HIGHLIGHTS

  • Markets trading mixed overnight with old crop beans seeing some strength, corn weakness, and wheat stuck in the middle.
  • Cattle on feed out this afternoon.
  • A cooler/wetter forecast continues to weigh on corn.  Sunday night weather will be key for direction next week.
  • Cash corn still extremely strong as lack of strength in September futures is leaving all the heavy lifting up to basis.  Cash beans still trading big premiums to futures, but basis has weakened in western areas.
  • South Korea bought 165 tmt of South African and Black Sea corn.
  • Bean sales after yesterday exceed USDA’s estimate by 680 tmt.  Corn sales exceed USDA’s estimate by 932 tmt.  Sales are rolled forward every year, so it’s probably a little early to be thinking the USDA needs to raise their estimates.
  • China reportedly bought 600 tmt of Australian wheat as they continue to try to build govt. stocks.
  • USDA reported 120 tmt of SRW to China in 2013/14 on the daily report.

WEATHER

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