Mild temps to help corn pollinate
Monday afternoon's Crop Condition report showed another decline in crop condition ratings, with the corn down 3% from good to move 1% to fair and 2% to poor.
Now corn is rated 63% good/excellent vs. only 26% last year during the disastrous crop production year. The Pro Ag corn yield model, however, was fairly stable at 161.93 bushels per acre, down only 0.46 bushels per acre from last week. Corn is 43% silking vs. 56% normally at this time. So we are still slightly behind the normal development for corn, but catching up to average yet with the heat of summer. Actually, cooler temps than normal are forecast ahead for the next two weeks. That may slow development but will likely result in ideal pollination conditions as well.
Soybean conditions declined 1% in the G/E category to 64% G/E, moving 1% from good down to fair, and leaving the percentage rated poor/very poor at only 8% vs. last year's 35%. Last year the G/E rating was only 31% by this time, so clearly this is not a disastrous crop like last year.
The Pro Ag soybean yield model was stable at 44.50 bushels per acre, down only 0.02 bushel per acre from last week. Soybeans are 46% blooming vs. 59% average, so we are still just a bit behind normal development. Soybeans setting pods are at 8% vs. 19% normally.
HRS wheat conditions were rated 68% G/E, down from 70% last week but still above last year's 60% rating at this time (and last year was a near-record large yield!). HRS wheat is 85% headed, only slightly behind the normal pace of 88% headed, so we are also catching up to average pace here as well. Winter wheat is now 75% harvested, only 1% behind the average pace of 76%. Much ado was made of Ohio being only 28% harvested last week (meaning double-crop soybeans were not getting planted). But this week that harvest pace moved to 93% (65% harvested last week) on warm/dry weather, so the soybeans double crop can still be timely planted. It's likely that most if not all of the double-crop soybeans did get planted timely.