Ray Grabanski: Profitable 2010 due to FSU drought
Grains have all rallied to profitable levels again, with corn over $4 futures,
soybeans over $10 futures, and wheat over $7 futures. These are profitable
levels for production of the 2010 crop, especially with the crop looking like
yields will be above average for nearly all crops. The US has a windfall this
year, producing an outstanding crop and getting a good price for it as well.
It is coming at the expense of the FSU counties, who are experiencing perhaps
their worst drought in a century. Intense heat is hitting most of the countries
of Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Russia that is burning up crops and is likely to
lead to a significant decline in total crop production in these areas. That has
already pushed prices up much higher than they were earlier this year, and it
giving producers a chance to sell in the top third of the last 12 months prices
right now.
Wheat prices have risen even higher than the top third of the past 12 months
prices, in fact, they've risen to the highest price since fall of 2008, when
prices were coming down from the mountaintop of the extreme high prices of the
2008 crop year. We are now looking at wheat prices offered for 2011 that will
attract acres away from corn and other crops!
That makes it exciting for the corn and soybean market, too, as wheat prices can







