Temperatures near to above normal today, near to below normal Thursday-Friday, 
near to above normal Saturday-Tuesday. 
 
Summary...Mato Grosso/MGDS/GOIAS 
 
   Scattered light showers with isolated heavier. Temperatures near to below 
normal. 
 
Forecast...Mato Grosso/MGDS/GOIAS 
 
    Episodes of scattered light showers with locally heavier through Saturday. 
Dry conditions or just a few light showers Sunday-Tuesday. Temperatures near to 
below normal through Saturday, near to above normal Sunday-Tuesday. 
 
Brazil Coffee/Citrus/Cane... 
 
    Dry conditions or just a few light showers in Sao Paulo. Temperatures above 
normal with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s f. 
 
Coffee/Citrus/Cane Forecast... 
 
    Dry conditions or just a few light showers during the next 7 days. 
Temperatures mostly above normal. 
 
Argentina (Corn, Soybeans and Wheat) 
 
Summary...Cordoba, Sante Fe and northern Buenos Aires 
 
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms of .25-1.00 inch. Temperatures below 
normal. 
 
Forecast... 
 
    Lingering light showers with locally heavier today. Dry weather 
Thursday-Saturday. Episodes of scattered showers and thunderstorms 
Sunday-Tuesday. Temperatures near to below normal through Thursday, near to 
above normal Friday-Monday, near to below normal Tuesday. 
 
Summary...La Pampa and southern Buenos Aires 
 
    Dry conditions or just a few light showers. Temperatures near to above 
normal west, near to below normal east. 
 
Forecast... 
 
    Dry conditions or just a few light showers through Thursday. Mostly dry 
weather Friday-Sunday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms develop on Monday 
ending on Tuesday. Temperatures near to below normal during the next 24-48 
hours, near to above normal Friday-Monday, near to below normal Tuesday. 
 
Indonesia 
 
Highlights: Scattered showers and thundershowers are evident across most of the 
region today. 
 
Malaysia 
 
Highlights: Isolated to widely scattered activity is evident in the east and 
west today. 
 
West Pacific and Indian Ocean Tropical Activity... 
 
   Tropical cyclone 14s (Irina), with 35 knot winds, was located near 
16.2s/42.6e at 1500 gmt today or just off the west coast of Madagascar and 
about 305 miles northwest of Antananarivo. The system has been nearly 
stationary during the past 6 hours. It is expected to track towards the 
south-southwest today before turning more towards the southwest tomorrow and 
west-southwest Thursday. Top winds may increase to 75 knots within the next 48 
hours. The system is projected to make landfall over southern Mozambique during 
Saturday. 
   An area of low pressure well to the southwest of Diego Garcia in the 
southwest Indian Ocean is being watched as a cyclone may be forming. This low 
is moving towards the west-southwest at 7 knots. 
 
WORLD CORN PROSPECTS 
 
   The greatest precipitation event in several months occurred in the dry areas 
of the northwest Midwest during the past 24 hours. This will help recharge soil 
moisture for spring planting. Some significant precipitation for South Dakota. 
No significant precipitation in North Dakota or the Canadian Prairies. 
    Favorable soil moisture conditions for filling corn in the major growing 
areas of central Argentina. It remains too dry in some of the minor southwest 
growing areas. Corn will show minimal benefit from this improved rainfall 
pattern with major losses expected due to significant periods of hot, dry 
weather during the growing season. 
   Early winter rain activity through corn areas of France will help recharge 
soil moisture for spring planting, however more rain is still needed after the 
dry fall. The area looks to be turning drier and warmer at this time, a pattern 
that may reduce needed spring time soil moisture for this crop. Snow and rain 
has become heavy in key corn areas of south Romania and Bulgaria during the 
winter. This will provide needed moisture for this crop area as it melts during 
the spring. Corn areas of Hungary have also had some significant snow recently 
but more moisture will be needed after an extended dry spell. 
   Another turn to drier and somewhat hotter weather will increase stress to 
filling maize in the South Africa region. Any uneven rainfall and temperature 
pattern this summer growing season may impact production somewhat. 
 
WORLD SOYBEAN PROSPECTS 
 
    Rainfall and cooler temperatures in Rio Grande do Sul and Parana Brazil 
will ease stress to filling soybeans. However major crop losses are expected 
due to significant periods of hot/dry weather during February. No major harvest 
disruptions in the Mato Grosso. 
    Favorable soil moisture conditions for filling soybeans in the major 
growing areas or central Argentina. It remains too dry in some of the minor 
southwest growing areas. Soybeans will benefit greatly from this rainfall, 
especially the later planted crop. 
 
WORLD WHEAT PROSPECTS 
 
   Generally favorable conditions for the dormant crop at this time with no 
severe cold and mostly adequate soil moisture. However more precipitation will 
be needed to support the crop when in breaks dormancy. It remains quite 
uncertain how the spring precipitation patterns will be in this region. 
   Mostly favorable conditions for the soft wheat crop in the eastern Midwest 
and north Delta. 
   Subzero f (-18C) cold has been reported through most wheat areas of Ukraine 
during the midwinter period. Any wheat that was not adequately protected by 
snow cover may have experienced winter kill. The region is not as cold at this 
time and there has been some added snow cover in the area recently. 
   Extremely cold weather has hit most winter wheat areas of west and south 
Russia during the midwinter period. This includes readings of -5 to -10 F (-20 
to -24 C) as far south as the central areas of North Caucasus Russia. Any wheat 
not adequately protected by snow cover was at risk of winterkill. The region is 
not as cold at this time. 
   Very cold temperatures covered much of east and central Europe during the 
first half of February. Temperatures below zero F (-18C) occurred through some 
key wheat areas in Germany and through much of east Europe. Any wheat not 
adequately protected by snow cover would be at risk of damage from these 
temperatures. The highest risk to wheat appears to have been in western Poland,

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