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Corn Belt farm values jump 22%

02/16/2012 @ 4:24pm

Farmland values in the heart of the U.S. corn belt jumped 25% in the fourth quarter versus a year ago, and posted the biggest annual increase in 36 years, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago said Thursday.

The Chicago Fed's report comes a day after the Kansas City Fed also reported a 25% increase from a year ago. Higher prices for crops, livestock and dairy have helped boost farmer incomes, driving the increase.

For the year, farmland values in the Chicago district, which includes Iowa and the key corn-producing regions of Indiana and Illinois, jumped 22%, the biggest increase since 1976.

"The year 2011 may go down in the annals of U.S. agriculture as a once-in-a-generation phenomenon," the Chicago Fed said in its report.

Although farmland price increases have slowed recently, with fourth-quarter values up only 4% from the prior quarter, more than 40% of the bankers surveyed expected further gains in the first three months of 2012, the Chicago Fed said.

The district includes some of the most productive corn and soybean soil in the world, which has helped drive farmland interest as crop prices increased. Gains were greatest in Iowa, where farmland values jumped 28% in 2011, and in Indiana, where values jumped 27%.

The district also includes parts of Michigan and Wisconsin, where values jumped 18% for the year. While dairy prices also climbed sharply in 2011, analysts say that dairy farmers haven't enjoyed as much of a gain in income because their production costs climbed with the cost of feed.

The rapid gains have prompted some concerns about a potential bubble, but many economists said that a crash is unlikely as crop prices are high and farmers don't have nearly as much debt as in the 1980s, when a farmland bubble popped.

Agricultural credit conditions in the Chicago district were stronger in the fourth quarter than the prior year. The Chicago Fed reported that farm loan repayments improved and loan extensions dropped in the quarter.

The district's loan-to-deposit ratio of 68.7% was the lowest since 1997, the bank said.

-By Ian Berry, Dow Jones Newswires; 312-750-4072; ian.berry@dowjones.com

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

February 16, 2012 16:24 ET (21:24 GMT)

DJ US Corn Belt Farm Values Jump 25% In Fourth Quarter-Chicago Fed->copyright

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Potential Bubble? 02/28/2012 @ 9:20am Right now, the only things keeping this trend going is the need for acreage expansion, which is being fueled by much better than typical Commodity Market prices. As long as these two factors dominate, any implosion will likely be thwarted. However, see the bottom finally fall out in Commodities, and all bets are off. history should tell us which team the Bankers are playing on. It really is a good idea, right now, WHILE Commodity Prices are up and debt is being retired an average of 40% a year, to invest in equipment, technology, infrastructure, energy independence, and all the other things that will enable the American Farmer to have the maximum options for profitability in a "Bear Market", and to be as efficient and cost effective as possible in Production. There ARE new Markets opening up, as well as new technologies and equipment deploying to make this all possible. It's worth looking into before the extra money dries up.

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