Richard Ohge 01/23/2012 @ 12:53pm
Consider for a moment, what China was like just 50 years ago, and most of us would have to agree they've made huge strides, particularly when ones notes their arable availability versus their huge population. In the last couple of decades we've watched record growth in single and double digits year after year. There's a lot of tenuous and precarious balances that the still Centralized Government has to maintain.
China chose to shift to a Market Economy and hasn't slowed since. With all of this growth, there's still some huge inequalities which the People's Government MUST address. Failure to do so-is simply not an option. Chine needs to keep all of it's manufacturing sectors in solid growth. This is the basis for it's expansion. That hard currency is the basis for their continued large purchases of Agricultural Products. Even if they can expand some sectors of their own Ag Programs, these are limited by the lack of usable land. Yet, 1.3+ Billion people not only have to eat, but are wanting to eat more like Americans every year. Like the old WW I song says, "How you gonna keep them down on the farm, after they've seen Paree?" This points to the other problem that limits their Ag expansion, there's an exodus from the Rural areas for people who've seen the American-Style Living in the Megalopolises. More money, bigger dreams, the good life, the same things that took people away from Rural America decades ago.
China will and must continue to evolve. The American Ag Industry, whether it ever planned it or not, is China's Mentor. It is also an irreplaceable source for Food it must have and will never really be able to produce itself. even as S. America, Australia, and eventually places like Ukraine ramp up output, there's always going to be a lot of mouths, human AND livestock, that must be fed.
Fortuitously China's focus is on Economic growth rather than conquest. They need everyone they trade with to prosper, otherwise they have no money to spend, AND produce, as China, like anywhere else, can't ever hope to be the provider of everything everyone wants. This necessitates an attitude of Positive Pragmatism. Keeping an assumption alive in the minds and hearts of it's people, that the future can be created by peoples committed to mutual prosperity.
China doesn't want to own us, see us fail, or see us under someone elses control.
It would cost them too much.
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