Big warm-up in the weather
Significant rain fell overnight (over an inch for a lot of locations in central and southern Missouri) and will continue to fall into tomorrow for the Ohio Valley through parts of the Delta (additional 0.50-1.25" amounts there), but the bigger story with regards to this week's weather will be warm temperatures.
Wednesday and Thursday will feature temperatures averaging 15 or more degrees above normal in a good part of the Plains and the Midwest, and similar warmth will be centered over the southern Plains eastward through the Delta for late next weekend and early next week.
The entire one- week period ending next Tuesday will feature temperatures running at least six to twelve degrees above normal throughout much of the Nation's midsection, but quite likely even warmer than that for especially the central and southern part of the hard-red winter wheat belt.
By Wednesday we will see 80s in the Texas panhandle and nearby areas, and quite possibly some 90s there by Thursday that may set some records. Highs may top 70 degrees in southern Nebraska, southern Iowa, and a lot of Illinois by Thursday as well. We will tend to cool things for the latter part of next week and into the final days of this month and could eventually see below normal temperatures returning to a lot of areas.
Rains early this week in the southeastern Corn Belt and the Delta will give way to quieter conditions later in the week, but we are looking for all sorts of stormy weather for the weekend and into early next week that will easily put the Midwest and most of the central/northern Plains in above-normal precipitation for the 6-10 day time frame.
The key for that period will be whether we can get some much-needed moisture into the hard-red winter wheat belt. Their best chance would be for about next Monday and Tuesday, and it might be a sharp line between still below-normal precipitation amounts for the 6-10 day time frame for far western Kansas southward through the western panhandles and above-normal precipitation for the eastern half of Kansas and eastern parts of Oklahoma.
Lack of precipitation last week should mean lower winter wheat crop ratings for the Plains in this afternoon's state reports, and quite likely even bigger deterioration for next Monday's numbers given the lack of rain and warm (even hot) temperatures in that area this week.
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