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Cool, Dry Corn Belt Conditions to Persist -- Forecaster

Jeff Caldwell Updated: 07/30/2014 @ 11:27am Agricultural content creator and marketer.

As cooler-than-normal temperatures continue to keep crop stress at bay in the absence of measurable widespread rainfall in the Corn Belt over the last two weeks, Mother Nature's expected to add to the weather-based bearish pressure on the grain markets when she finally turns back on the faucet in the next few days.

The outlook's taken a turn for the damper in the Corn Belt, and when that forecast was released late Tuesday, the grains responded quickly, underscoring the attention the trade's paying the weather right now. "Larger losses came in the day session after some weather maps indicated better rain chances for next week," says Cargill senior grain merchandiser in Eddyville, Iowa, Ray Jenkins. "Bullish news is hard to come by right now!"

The expected rainfall won't be regionwide, though; MDA Weather Services senior ag meteorologist Don Keeney says the Corn Belt will be bookended by the areas where rain is most likely from late this week on through early next week.

"Showers should return to the eastern Midwest through late week, which will help maintain sufficient moisture there for corn and soybean growth," Keeney says. "Also, rains in northwestern areas early next week will help improve moisture there as well."

On the other end of the spectrum, dry weather is expected to persist in other parts of the area. But if temperatures continue to stay lower than normal, crop stress may not be an issue . . . yet.

"Continued drier weather in southwestern areas through early next week will increase stress on soybeans, mainly in southwest Iowa, Missouri, southwestern Illinois, and southwest Kentucky," Keeney says. "A few showers should return to drier southwestern areas later next week, though, which should improve conditions at that point. Cool temperatures will continue to prevent heat stress."

Looking further down the road, the lower-than-normal temperatures are expected to be common through the next 30 to 60 days, Keeney says. But those cooler temperatures will also be accompanied by drier conditions in much of the region. Basically, it may be a broken record for the coming weeks, weather-wise.

"The latest 31- to 60-day temperature outlook has trended warmer across the Southeast, but slightly cooler across the central Plains. The continued lack of notable heat across the Midwest will prevent heat stress on any late growth of the soybeans," Keeney says. "The precipitation outlook has trended drier in the northwestern Midwest and north-central Plains, but has trended wetter in the south-central Midwest and southwestern Plains. The drier pattern in the northwestern Midwest should not result in any significant stress on corn and soybeans, as crop growth should be finishing up at that point. However, the wetter pattern in the southern Midwest and Delta may slow drydown and maturation of the crops."

Current Crop Weather Good For Weeds, Too

Published: July 14, 2014

The weather's been great for the corn and soybean crops in much of the Midwest so far this year. But, what's good for the crops is also good for the weeds that invade them. First, your preemergence herbicides may have been knocked out of commission by heavy rain. This leads to questions as to what can be done to insure control of weeds larger than specified on herbicide labels," he says.

Weather Starter: Corn Belt Dryness Continues

Published: July 28, 2014

The week's starting out a dry one -- and likely will end on that note, too -- though while some areas may see mounting concerns on this account, lower-than-normal temperatures will likely prevent the extended rain-free streak from inflicting too much crop damage, forecasters say. Though the ...

Weather Update

Published: July 27, 2014

I thought I would do a quick weather update for you before going to bed. I have a very busy week ahead. Here in OK, our average high is 95, after Tuesday and for the next week we will be 6-10 degrees below that. I know that some of the beans were already flipping over their leaves when I came down here.

7-29 Weather Update

Published: July 28, 2014

Good Evening Guys. The Gulf remains shut off from the Midwest the next 10 days, the benificiaries will be, still, NE, KS, and OK which all look to pick up meaningful rainfall, in several installments, over the next 10 days. I did pass my written tests today, the first one I got 100% on, the second one I got a bit sloppy and was getting a bit tired after 225+ questions, and only scored a 94%.

Good weather grain market continues

Published: July 29, 2014

The term “weather market” usually has negative connotations, and we think of bad weather and higher prices. The corn has grown out of the “yellow streak” disease, and doesn’t even look so up and down. While most of the country is silking (USDA reports 78 percent as of Sunday night) and a significant amount is in dough (17 percent), we are not seeing very many acres that are tasseled.

Cooler weather in North Dakota boosts some crops

Published: July 15, 2014

— Cooler weather across North Dakota has been a boost for small grains, canola and flaxseed. The Agriculture Department says in its weekly report that most major crops in North Dakota are rated in good condition. Canola conditions were at 85 percent good to excellent, and flaxseed was 77 percent good to excellent.

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Help in time of drought 07/31/2014 @ 4:18pm In June I traveled though Kansas and saw wheat inches high and some fields bear of plants. There is a need of fight drought will a natural fertilizer that enables plants to mature with less moisture. Some of these crops, I believe could have been saved. Save your next crop with less moisture. www.agturfproducts.com Dale Lehfeldt agturf rep. dalecarl35@yahoo.com

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