Finally planting in western Corn Belt
The driest part of the Corn Belt over the past seven days has been the western third of Iowa, the western third of Minnesota, extreme northwestern Missouri, and points eastward and that is an area where some corn is being planted right now. Despite overall cool conditions on average in that area (as well as the rest of the Corn Belt and points to the east) for probably the next two weeks, corn will continue to be planted in that area over the next week as the weather does not look wet enough in that area to create big work stoppages.
Some thunderstorms are possible there for tonight and there may be a little more rain for the middle of next week, but it all looks pretty scattered and for the most part not heavy. We may eventually get a little corn planted in central and southeastern Iowa, northern Missouri, and northwestern Illinois as well as those are other places that have not seen too much rain over the past week, but those areas will also be dealing with cool temps on average and a couple rain threats.
The biggest problem has been, and will continue to be, the southeastern Corn Belt and the northern Delta where rains have been so big as of late and the biggest rains for this weekend will be in that same area. Better than an inch of rain will fall for the southeastern quarters of Missouri and Illinois, with roughly the southern third of Indiana and the southern half of Ohio seeing similar totals. Even heavier rains are forecast further south, with a lot of 2-4+ inch totals for northeastern Texas across central Arkansas, western/northern Tennessee, and western Kentucky.
Eventually I do think that a wetter pattern will again encompass a bigger part of the Midwest and the Delta for the week of May 10. Clearly we are going to be getting some corn in the ground in the near term, and that is being used as much of the excuse for the big break in corn values yesterday. However, I still think that planting issues are going to be a problem in May, so this weather market is far from over! I will again repeat my stance that the planting pace for both this Monday and for the week ending May 8 will be the third slowest since 1985 for the Nation.
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