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Hit-and-miss rainfall chances

08/19/2011 @ 7:39am

The best rains in the Midwest over the past 24 hours were where they were forecast to be, which is in western and southwestern parts of the region. Southeastern South Dakota, eastern Nebraska, southwestern Iowa, northeastern Kansas, and much of Missouri are all areas that saw at least a half inch of rain but bigger 1-2+ inch totals were common for the Nebraska/Iowa and Kansas/Missouri border regions.

One can find reports of over an inch of rain for Sioux City, Omaha, Tekamah, Falls City, St. Joseph, and Kansas City; over two inches was reported at Yankton. Unfortunately, a lot of this rain was accompanied by a lot of severe weather, with hail (mostly 1.75 to 2.75 inches in diameter but locally over four inches in diameter in Nebraska) and high winds (one report of 100 mile per hour winds in Missouri) being reported very frequently and likely did a lot of damage on corn and soybean crops in that area. 

We will likely see another area of rain develop in the far western Corn Belt tonight and that will spread eastward through the Midwest for later tonight through tomorrow night. One can't be excited about rainfall amounts from that over northern parts of Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio (and points northward), but better rains will be seen south of there with some nice totals of over an inch possible in southeastern Nebraska, northeastern Kansas, far southern Iowa, northern Missouri, southern Illinois, and far southern Indiana. The next chance for rain in the Midwest will be for about Monday and Tuesday with most everyone having a chance for light amounts.

Driest areas of the Midwest (and that includes a lot of the key growing areas right now) will indeed see rains over the next five days but it will not be the 1-2+ inch soaker that they really want. Rain chances for the 6-10 and 11-15 day time frames do not look good either. 

Heat on an extreme or extended basis is not going to be a story in the Midwest for the rest of this month, with some areas forecast to average below normal on temperatures over the next two weeks.


Freese-Notis Weather, Inc. Des Moines, Iowa Copyright 2011 - All Rights Reserved

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