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Lots of June planting ahead
One state really sticks out in Monday's USDA-NASS Crop Progress report. As of Sunday, only 19% of Ohio's corn crop is planted. That's almost 75% behind the normal pace.
Tuesday's report, delayed a day by the Memorial Day holiday Monday, shows 51% of the nation's soybean crop has been planted, while 86% of the corn crop is in the ground, 66% of it emerging. No Corn Belt state is showing 100% completion for either crop, though most states are between 75% and 100% with the exceptions of Indiana, Michigan and Ohio (59%, 67% and 19%, respectively). Nationwide, 66% of the corn crop and 27% of the soybean crop has emerged.
The planting progress is the slowest in about 15 years, according to Freese-Notis Weather, Inc., ag meteorologist Craig Solberg. And, at least in the near term, the wettest parts of the Corn Belt -- also those with the lowest planting totals so far -- may not see much action.
"For the first time since 1996, we will be planting more than 10% of the nation's corn crop in the month of June. For the far northwestern Corn Belt and the northern Plains, corn acreage that remains to be planted will not be seeded quickly in June, as that area is wet after weekend rains and there will be some additional rains falling over the next 10 days," Solberg says. "Areas that still need to plant corn in the eastern Corn Belt are also still wet right now, but net drying that will be taking place in those areas over the next ten days will allow for corn acreage to be planted if farmers so choose to go in that direction."
Farmers in the eastern Corn Belt are still holding out hope that they'll be able to get back to planting corn and soybeans soon, though off-and-on rainfall chances this week will likely prevent much drying from happening.
"Woke up this morning feeling kind of positive about the eastern Corn Belt weather this week. Not so sure if we're going to get the opportunity we were looking at 24 hours ago," Agriculture.com Marketing Talk member mjalbers3 said Saturday. "Heavy rain running toward Ohio & Indiana and 2 more chances Wednesday and Friday 30% hit or miss."
Once conditions do allow planting to resume in that area, it will likely nullify any of the progress that's been made in Indiana and Ohio, as there will likely be a lot of replanting to do, adds Marketing Talk member and Indiana farmer Blacksandfarmer.
"I have looked out into the field of soybeans I just planted last week and see a lot of seed washed up and laying on the surface. I also wonder how much nitrogen in my corn I have lost due to heavy rain," Blacksandfarmer says. "This week was supposed to be big for planting in Ohio and Indiana but from what I can see that wont be happening."
There is a bright side, though, if you have all or most of your planting done. Though the forecast doesn't bide well if you've still got a lot of planting to do, it's not too bad for those with most or all of your planting done, Solberg adds. "For areas of the Midwest that have spring fieldwork done, the forecast is favorable as warm temperatures over the next 10 days will allow the young crops to gather some growing degree day units and put on a lot of early growth."