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Prepare for snow
Snow will be falling today over northern/western Kansas and points west (where winter weather advisories and winter storm warnings have been posted).
Anywhere from 0.50-2.00" additional precipitation totals are forecast for much of the central Corn Belt as well (heaviest in eastern Iowa, northeastern Missouri, northern Illinois, Wisconsin, and western Michigan), with that precipitation changing to snow tonight in southeastern Nebraska, southwestern through northeastern Iowa, southeastern Minnesota, and western Wisconsin (with some of that area under a winter weather advisory or a winter storm watch).
It still looks like this storm is going to produce very little moisture in Ohio, which is great news for a state that still has two-thirds of its corn and a third of its soybeans still left to cut. It will remain favorable for harvesting in Ohio through the end of the coming weekend, but it does look wet there for the 6-10 day period as a more active weather in that time frame means a lot of moisture for areas to the east of where the big moisture is falling this week.
We saw a three percentage point increase this week in the amount of winter wheat in the good/excellent category, but this week's moisture in the Plains means that we will likely see a further increase in those numbers for next Monday's report.
Rainfall of one to two inches and locally over three inches has been common over the past 24 hours in west-central Illinois, southern Iowa, western and northern Missouri, eastern Kansas, and much of Oklahoma to the east of the Texas panhandle.
Heavier totals in that area would include 2.09" at Topeka, 2.17" at Emporia, 2.11" at Fort Sill, 2.94" at Clinton (OK), and 3.50" at Chanute. In the hard-red winter wheat belt, the trade today will take note of some nice totals in key cities such as Dodge City (0.54"), Great Bend (0.53"), Hutchinson (1.01"), Wichita (1.75"), Salina (0.84"), Wichita (1.75"), Lawton (0.67"), and Hobart (1.47").
More precipitation will fall today in the hard-red belt outside of the Texas panhandle, and areas along and east of Interstate 35 will likely see additional totals of more than a half inch.
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