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Some rain relief

10/28/2011 @ 10:38am

Additional precipitation of 0.10 to 0.50" over the past 24 hours in the southern Plains capped off what turned out to be a nice little event for a big part of the Texas panhandle as well as central/southern parts of Oklahoma. 

Two-day totals of 0.50 to 1.00" were recorded at Amarillo, Lubbock and Wichita Falls; and over an inch was recorded at Childress, Hobart, and Oklahoma City. 

The past 30 days have been the wettest that the southern Plains has seen in quite some time, with places like Oklahoma City, Hobart, Childress, Wichita Falls, Dalhart, and Goodland actually able to record above- normal precipitation in that period. Everyone else that I track in the region still had below normal precipitation during that time frame. So, we are not anywhere closer to breaking the extreme drought in the region, but most spots have seen enough moisture to plant a winter wheat crop, to get it germinated, and get some growth going on it. 

It is a very difficult forecast, but maybe we can see even more improvement in the southern Plains situation for the middle of next week. There are huge amounts of model differences in the forecast for next week, but I tend to think that the solutions presented by the latest European and Canadian models are largely on track in giving the southern Plains another precipitation threat (likely rain and snow) for about the Wednesday/Thursday time frames of next week. 

Both of those models develop a big storm (and thus show big precipitation totals) that may be overdone, but I still think that the potential is there for another round of significant totals that may exceed a half inch in spots. 

In the near term, the big weather story for the United States is a historic snow storm for tomorrow and tomorrow night for the northeastern part of the Nation, one that may bring some snow to the big coastal cities but will bring heavy snows (ten inches or more) to interior areas.

Freese-Notis Weather, Inc. Des Moines, Iowa Copyright 2011 - All Rights Reserved


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