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Soybean harvest racing along
It is a federal holiday today (observance of Columbus Day) so we will not get weekly crop progress numbers until tomorrow afternoon. With last week's warm and dry weather, those numbers should show big progress being made. Our expectation is for the national soybean harvest progress figure to come in at 65 percent done, which would be the most ever harvested by October 10 (exceeding the previous record of 63 percent set in 2000).
For corn, we would look for harvesting to be 51 percent done on a national basis, which would be the fifth fastest ever (behind only 1991, 1987, 2000, and 1988).
Open weather for harvesting continued to be seen across the Midwest over the weekend, with the most notable feature of that weather being exceptionally warm temperatures that found a lot of places setting record highs. Highs in the 80s in the Midwest were commonplace for Friday through yesterday but you could find places that made it to the 90 degree mark. Highs in the lower 90s were common in the Delta for both Saturday and Sunday (with record highs being scored there as well). It will stay very warm through tomorrow, then cooler for the rest of the work-week.
The weekend and early next week turns warmer again, then below normal temperatures will dominate for around October 20 through the remainder of the two-week forecast. Some rain has been seen since yesterday morning in parts of the Plains hard-red winter wheat belt. Though radar is estimating some locally decent amounts, actual totals are not as impressive as the radar shows as I cannot find any reporting station west of Interstate 35 (i.e. where the bulk of the winter wheat is grown) with more than a half inch (with plenty of places getting nothing at all).
Through the end of the coming weekend this is not a wet weather pattern for the Nation's midsection, with plenty of places getting nothing in that period. Odds would favor a rain system starting about Monday of next week, but large amounts of model differences on the make-up of that system makes it very difficult to say who might get some of the better amounts (and who will again be short-changed).
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