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USDA data seen as bullish for corn

03/08/2013 @ 11:08am

DES MOINES, Iowa (Agriculture.com)--The USDA released bullish data for the corn market, bearish for soybeans Friday. 

In its report, the USDA left the U.S. soybean ending stocks unchanged and lowered U.S. corn stocks. 

The USDA pegged the 2012-13 U.S. corn carryout at 632 million bushels compared to the average analysts estimate of 649 million and its previous estimate of 632 million bushels.

For U.S. soybeans, the 2012-13 carryout is estimated at 125 million bushels vs. the average analysts estimate of 122 million bushels and the USDA's February estimate of 125 million bushels.

The U.S. wheat carryout is pegged at 716 million bushels compared to the average analysts' estimate of 713 million bushels and the USDA's last estimate of 691 million bushels.


Discuss the USDA/WASDE Reports in Marketing Talk 


Jack Scoville, PRICE Futures Group vice president says the report showed unchanged ending stocks estimates for corn and soybeans, which was a little bullish for corn and bearish for soybeans.  

"It is what I expected, though, as I think USDA wants to see the quarterly stocks report yet," Scoville says.  

USDA cut production for both in Argentina, but left Brazil alone, which is not bullish, either, he says.  

"Wheat showed more stocks here and around the world, bearish wheat for sure, but people have been selling wheat due to the rain and snow in the Great Plains.  Most of the bearish reaction, so far, has been in the beans. I think this has to do as much with the LatAm numbers, especially Brazil not changing," Scoville says.


WORLD PRODUCTION

USDA estimates the 2012-13 Brazil soybean output at 83.5 mmt vs. the average trade estimate of 83.4 mmt and the USDA's previous estimate of 83.5 mmt. For Argentina's 2012-13 soybean production, the USDA estimates the 2012-13 crop at 51.5 mmt, vs. the average trade estimate of 51.0 mmt and the USDA's previous estimate of 53.0 mmt.

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