Wishes and miracles
As long as I can remember, Christmas has been a time for wish lists and miracles. Wish lists were made up of things we hoped for, but did not really expect to receive. That is why they were wishes.
These were the things that we would really like to have, but were afraid to get too full of hope because we did not want the disappointment that came when our wishes were not fulfilled. But when our wishes were realized, oh, the joy that accompanied the realization that we really got what we wanted.
Then there is the miracle. The miracle, that despite all odds against it, something great would happen. It would be something beyond our greatest belief. It would be a once in a lifetime occurrence.
Now you may be thinking I am referring to the Christmas story about the birth of Jesus. Well, most years I would, but not this year. I am referring to the current state of the grain market. Now there is a wish list and a miracle for you.
In the span of around 90 days, we have gone from being hopeful for the future to wondering how good it can get. Like many of the things we enjoy about Christmas, we wonder how long it will last.
We are grateful for this gift at Christmas and want to make the most of it, especially if a top in prices has arrived. We are all happy to sell something, but if this is the top, we will want to sell a lot more.
The recent leveling off of prices, along with some falling back, is making us grain producers a little nervous. Has our wish been granted? Is this where the miracle ends?
Today's question is, "Is the grain market taking a holiday vacation? If it is, what is it going to do when vacation is over and it is back to work next January? By next spring, will the good prices have melted away like the snow?"
By next spring, Christmas will be a memory and so could the prices we hoped would go higher but did not. Next spring and summer, the good prices could be a memory as well. One of the drawbacks of Christmas is that it never lasts.
However, another element of Christmas is faith, faith that we can be sure of the future. While there is no guarantee of the future, our faith moves us forward as we plan and prepare. Usually, our preparations become almost self-fulfilling. We plan trying to achieve the most we can. Most of the time we get close to our goals and occasionally, we exceed them. But it starts with faith.
When we were young, in the days just before Christmas we could feel the excitement building with each day, knowing what was coming and wanting it to last as long as possible. We knew it was a special time and in some ways, possibly too good to be true. When my neighbors and I talk with each other about the current grain market, it is the same way. We can feel excitement and want it to last, but fearful of an end and a missed opportunity.
This is a time just like when we made our Christmas lists as children. We want to ask for things we really like, but to ask for too much is to risk being disappointed, while asking for too little would risk missing our wishes. When I look at the grain market, if I make the right decision at the right time, well, that will be a miracle.