Drought conditions remain mostly unchanged north, with some abnormally dry areas spreading into western IL and northwestern MN. Drought conditions have receded in NC and SC due to the rainfall they are getting, and should recede more on next weeks report. For the winter wheat growing areas, there is slight worsening of drought areas in western and central TX, with severe drought developing in central TX. There will be scattered showers in western/central parts of OK/NE/KS, in eastern CO, and in northwestern/far north-central TX Friday to Sunday, with some rain reaching eastern NE and eastern KS this weekend. Rain will recede into the TX/OK Panhandles and southwestern KS/eastern CO Monday and mainly affect NE, the TX Panhandle, and CO Tuesday. Thus, much of TX will become drier the next few days.
Joaquin is currently a category 4 major hurricane. The ECMWF-EPS model is pushing Joaquin northeastward into the Atlantic. Previous model runs of the GFS-ENS have been bringing Joaquin toward the Mid-Atlantic coast. However, the current GFS-ENS model run is turning Joaquin north-northeastward and keeping it in the Atlantic. The increased agreement between these two models indicates a greater chance of Joaquin not making landfall, although there is still disagreement with other models.
Check farther down this page below the morning audio and above the comments for a 4 panel image of predicted South American precipitation.
In the 10 day forecast box just below the 4 panel US precipitation forecast images, type your zipcode in the 'Zip Code' box for your local weather.
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