EVENING WEATHER UPDATE - 5:00 PM CDT Tuesday, May 26, 2015











MIDWEST U.S. - Today (May 26), there was showers/storms in western OH, IN, southern MI, southern WI, northern and central IL, southern MN, much of IA, and far northern MO. Most rainfall totals were .1-.75 inches. Highs were mainly in the 60's to 80's, with the warmest temperatures east and the coolest temperatures northwest. Numerous river flood warnings persist in northwestern MO. For rainfall, the 12Z ECMWF-EPS was slightly wetter southeast and drier north-central and west for the 1-5 day period, was slightly drier far south and slightly wetter far northwest for the 6-10 period, and was slightly wetter to unchanged for the 11-15 day period. For temperatures, the 12Z ECMWF-EPS was mostly unchanged for the 1-5 day period, was slightly warmer west for the 6-10 day period, and slightly warmer for the 11-15 day period. The USDA Crop Progress Report released its weekly report today. National corn planting was at 92%, compared to the 5 year average of 88%. For % vs avg, IA was at 96/94, IL was at 97/93, and IN was at 88/81. National corn emerged was at 74%, compared to the 5 year average of 62%. For % vs avg, IA was at 81/71, IL was at 87/75, and IN was at 63/62. National soybean planting was at 61%, compared to the 5 year average of 55%. For % vs avg, IA was at 70/71, IL was at 69/57, and IN was at 59/54. National soybean emerged was at 32%, compared to the 5 year average of 25%. For % vs avg, IA was at 32/27, IL was at 38/29, and IN was at 27/32. 74% of corn was in good/excellent condition nationally, with only 3% in poor/very poor condition. For good/excellent condition, IA was at 79%, IL was at 80%, and IN was at 75%. National spring wheat planting was at 96%, compared to the 5 year average of 79; while national spring wheat emerged was at 80%, compared to the 5 year average of 54%. National spring wheat % in good/excellent condition was 69%, which was up 4% from last week. Winter Wheat % in good/excellent condition was 45% nationally, which is the same as last week, 53% in CO, 30% in KS, 36% in NE, 36% in OK, and 56% in TX. Winter Wheat headed was 77% nationally compared to the 5 year average of 67%. For % vs avg, CO was 67/39, KS was 94/84, NE was 40/29, OK was 100/97, and TX was 98/92. For winter wheat jointing % vs avg, CO was 97/88, KS was 99/99, and NE was 95/83. Winter Wheat harvested was 4% in TX, which was 8% below its 5 year average. Suitable field days were 1-2+ in the Southern and Central Plains, Delta, IA, and MO, and 2.8-5+ in farther northern and eastern areas.

1-5 day outlook(May 27-31) Temperatures will be above normal, except near normal west. Rainfall will be mostly above normal. Showers/storms will move out of eastern areas tonight, with showers persisting in some north-central areas Wednesday. Showers/storms will redevelop in eastern areas late Wednesday as well. Another area of showers/storms will move into western areas Thursday, western/central areas Friday, southern/central/eastern areas Saturday, and southeastern areas Sunday. 5 day rainfall totals will be mainly .6-1.5+ inches. The best fieldwork opportunities will be Wednesday especially in western and central areas, Thursday and Friday in eastern areas, and Saturday and Sunday in western areas. Highs will reach mainly the 70's and 80's Wednesday and Thursday, 60's to 80's Friday, upper 50's to low 80's Saturday, and upper 50's to low 70's Sunday.

6-10 day outlook(June 1-5) Temperatures will be mainly above normal. Rainfall will be above normal northwest and near normal elsewhere.

11-15 day outlook(June 6-10) Temperatures will be mostly above normal. Rainfall will be mostly near to above normal.





PLAINS WEATHER - Today, scattered rain showers affected the Northern Plains, particularly in ND. Rainfall totals reached up to .25 inches. Storms develop in southern KS, central/eastern OK, and north-central TX. Total rainfall reached over 1 inch in spots. Highs mainly reached the 60's to 80's in the Northern Plains and the 70's and 80's in the Southern Plains. Flood warnings persist in eastern OK through this evening. For rainfall, the 12Z ECMWF-EPS was wetter southeast, drier south-central, and variable southwest for the 1-5 day period, was slightly wetter north and slightly drier southeast for the 6-10 day period, and was slightly wetter far southeast, east-central, and north for the 11-15 day period. For temperatures, the 12Z ECMWF-EPS was slightly cooler southeast and north for the 1-5 day period, was slightly warmer central to north and slightly cooler far north for the 6-10 day period, and was slightly warmer except far northwest and far south for the 11-15 day period.

1-5 day outlook Temperatures will be mainly below normal, except closer to normal far east-central. Rainfall will be mostly above normal, except closer to normal north. Showers/storms will persist in southeastern areas tonight and Wednesday. Showers/storms will also move through all but far southeastern areas from late Wednesday to late Thursday and affect all but far northern areas Thursday night and Friday. Showers/storms will affect the Southern Plains Saturday and scattered showers will affect northern and southern areas Sunday. There will be .75-2+ inches of rain in most central and southern areas, with far western areas seeing .5-1 inches of rain and northern areas seeing .25-.75+ inches of rain. This wet forecast will limit fieldwork and stress crops in the southern 2/3 of the Plains, with northern areas staying drier and generally having 2-3 day for fieldwork. Flooding will likely persist in similar areas in eastern and central OK/TX/KS. Highs Wednesday and Thursday will be in the upper 60's to near 80 in the Northern Plains and the 70's and 80's in the Southern Plains. Highs Friday will be in the 50's to low 70's in the Northern Plains and the 70's and 80's in the Southern Plains. Highs Saturday will be in the 50's to low 70's in the Northern Plains and the 60's to low 80's in the Southern Plains. Highs Sunday will be in the 60's and 70's in the Northern Plains and the upper 60's to low 80's in the Southern Plains.

6-10 day outlook Temperatures will be below normal south and mostly above normal north and central. Rainfall will be below normal south and near to above normal north.

11-15 day outlook Temperatures will be mostly near to above normal, except below normal west-central to far south. Rainfall will be near to above normal north and near to below normal south.





Matthew Christy / Meteorologist