EVENING WEATHER UPDATE - 4:30 PM CDT Thursday, March 26, 2015

MIDWEST U.S. - Today, a system is gradually departing to the southeast and will be out of the region by midnight. Total rainfall in eastern areas was mostly under .1 inches. Also, some rain showers moved into far western areas this afternoon, with less than .1 inches of rain falling in most spots and some higher amounts in eastern NE. These rain showers will continue moving through southwestern areas to early Friday morning, with rainfall totals exceeding .1 inches in far southwestern areas. Highs mainly reached the 30's and 40's. The USDA/NASS released their weekly Drought Monitor report today. The area of abnormally dry conditions in the Northern Plains expanded to western ND, western SD, western NE, and northeastern CO. A small area of moderate drought conditions developed in western SD too. Abnormally dry and moderate drought areas persisted in the Northeastern Plains and northwestern Cornbelt, with some areas especially in MN developing long-term drought affects. Another abnormally dry area developed from near Detroit to Toledo and reaching to the northern OH/IN border. Northern IA was already on the southern edge of an area of abnormally dry conditions, but another small area of abnormally dry conditions developed in southwestern IA. Meanwhile, drought conditions have alleviated in north-central AR and are improving near the Gulf Coast. Drought conditions are worsening in eastern and central KS, with the area of extreme to exceptional drought slightly expanding in OK and northern TX. Unfortunately, the CA drought remains unchanged. Also, according to the Australian Weather Service, tropical storms Pam and Bavi caused one of the strongest trade wind reversals in years. Due to this, sub-surface temperatures are expected to rise in the tropical Pacific, but it is still unknown whether this will be just a temporary change or raise sea surface temperatures for the longer-term.

1-5 day outlook(March 27-31) Temperatures will be below normal, except closer to normal far west. Precipitation will be mainly below normal. After tonight, an area of light/rain snow will affect far western areas Friday and Friday night, with less than .1 inches of total precipitation falling and no more than a coating of snow in most northwestern areas. Also, there will be isolated rain/snow showers in eastern areas Friday that mostly will not accumulate to measurable amounts. A system will move through the region Saturday night to Monday. Most of the precipitation will be rain, with a snow mix possible west early Sunday. Another system will give rain to most northern, central, and eastern areas Monday to Tuesday, with snow mixing in far northeastern areas early Tuesday. Total precipitation will reach .1-.3 inches in most spots. Highs will reach the upper 20's to 40's Friday, 30's to low 50's Saturday, 40's to low 60's Sunday, upper 40's to 60's Monday, and upper 40's to 70's Tuesday.

6-10 day outlook(April 1-5) Temperatures will be above normal, except near to below normal northeast. Precipitation will be near to above normal east and near to below normal west.

11-15 day outlook(April 6-10) Temperatures will be near to below normal northeast and near to above normal elsewhere. Precipitation will be above normal, except near normal northwest.



PLAINS WEATHER - Today, there were scattered showers in northeastern and eastern areas, which will leave eastern areas tonight. Some northeastern areas saw less than 1 inch of snow early today, with other areas seeing mostly less than .2 inches of rain. Highs reached the upper 20's to 50's in the Northern Plains and the 50's and 60's in the Southern Plains. For Southern Plains rainfall, the 12Z ECMWF-EPS showed no major changes for the 1-5, 6-10, and 11-15 day periods. For temperatures, the 12Z ECMWF-EPS was slightly cooler north for the 1-5 day period, was slightly warmer south for the 6-10 day period, and was slightly cooler in all but far southeastern areas for the 11-15 day period.

1-5 day outlook Temperatures will be above normal, except near to below normal far east. Precipitation will be near to above normal far north and below normal elsewhere. Light rain/snow will move through the Northern and Central Plains tonight to late Friday, with some rain showers in the Southeastern Plains Friday night and Saturday. Snow accumulations in the Northern Plains will be less than 1 inch in most spots. Another area of rain will move into the Northern, Central, and Eastern Plains late Saturday to Sunday, moving over the Southern Plains Sunday night to Tuesday and affecting mainly the Southeastern half of the Southern Plains. More areas of mainly rain will move through the Northern Plains early Monday to Monday night and arrive in the Northwestern Plains late Tuesday. Total precipitation will be .1-.5 inches in northern and southeastern areas and less than .1 inches in most other locations. There are no winterkill concerns for the five day period. Highs Friday will be in the 30's to 60's in the Northern Plains and in the 40's to 70's in the Southern Plains. Highs Saturday will be in the 40's to 70's in the Northern Plains and from near 50 to the 80's in the Southern Plains. Highs Sunday will be mainly in the 50's in the Northern Plains and in the 60's to 80's in the Southern Plains. Highs Monday will be from near 50 to the 60's in the Northern Plains and in the 60's and 70's in the Southern Plains. Highs Tuesday will be in the 50's to 70's in the Northern Plains and in the 70's and 80's in the Southern Plains.

6-10 day outlook Temperatures will be above normal, except closer to normal far north. Precipitation will be mainly near to below normal, except above normal far north and near to above normal far southeast.

11-15 day outlook Temperatures will be below normal north and above normal central and south. Precipitation will be below normal southwest and near to above normal elsewhere.

Matthew Christy / Meteorologist



                                                           

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nice weather 09/18/2014 @ 5:12am nice Visit W3Schools here

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Looking forward to next week's report 04/11/2014 @ 8:39am These probabilities are new to me. Why does the soybean yield forecast seem less impacted by El Nino? Prices aren't going to like a big production year, though.

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Weather Forecast Chicago for 10 days 11/13/2013 @ 1:36pm You can find weather forecast for 10 days on www.weatherforecast10day.com. You can find your location by entering name in the search bar on home page.After that you will get list of search results or your location. When you click on your location you will get 10 day weather forecast and hour by hour forecast for your location. I found them very accurate. Take a look at http://www.weatherforecast10day.com/en/us-illinois/chicago.php

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Days are getting shorter 06/24/2013 @ 7:50am The heat has been good for the crops this past week and I was hoping it would continue for a while. Your projected cool down and the days getting shorter concerns me. A lot of late planted beans. A frost in the first half of September would be very bad. Nice rain last night west of Des Moines. Wind

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Colombia 10/17/2012 @ 12:29pm According to the weather report http://www.agronet.gov.co vides us now Colombia despite its diverse climate predominates the winter in all regions, so it is important to be alert to any emergency

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