Monthly charts would suggest the trend for corn and soybeans is sideways.
Uncertainty about the upcoming crop can move prices higher in April, May, and June.
Bottom line, we find it challenging to expect yield results to increase 4.1 bushels. Could the November report this year hold a lower yield surprise similar to last year’s big increase?
The most straightforward reownership method is to purchase futures contracts.
Typically, there is not much of a decision to be made in mid-October, as prices are near their lows. Yet, with a recent 10% price recovery for corn and soybeans, this could be a selling opportunity.
While the Chinese government is taking aggressive action to eliminate hogs where cases are reported, it puts the world on alert that a drawdown in China’s hog herd is possible.
Feedback, so far, suggests yield variability, and many are indicating their crop may not be as large as last year’s.
No one knows with certainty what the next 90 days will bring.
The USDA’s latest report surprised the market with an estimated corn yield of 181 bushels an acre. Since the report, corn futures have dropped well over 20¢.
You protect carry by forward selling.