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VIDEO: Business message

As one of a panel of speakers at a winter agricultural marketing meeting recently, it hit me that times have changed. 

In the past, these gatherings were littered with speaker after speaker offering up their perspectives on the direction of the corn, soybean and wheat markets. The attendees walked away with some idea where their crop prices might be six months down the road.

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Grain prices hit 30-month highs

CHICAGO, Illinois (Agriculture.com)--After hitting limit-up price-points in the corn and soybean markets, and marking 30-month highs, the prices have backed off slightly, but still closed sharply higher. 

Overall, prices remain very strong with plenty of support coming from the USDA Crop, Supply/Demand Reports Wednesday.

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USDA data seen bullish

CHICAGO, Illinois (Agriculture.com)--The USDA released bullish Crop Report data Wednesday, market traders and analysts say.

In its January World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) Report, the USDA dropped the U.S. 2010 corn and soybean production and ending stocks. Worldwide, the USDA  cut the Argentine corn production estimate, due to a continued drought weather pattern that is hurting that country's pollination season.

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Argentina weather shows light showers

Argentina Soybean Prospects: Hot, dry weather or just a few light showers through the main growing area during the next 7 days will increase stress to the crop.  

SUMMARY- Dry across eastern and southeast areas, showers of 0.10-0.50 inch 

(3-13 mm) across northwest areas during the weekend period. Temperatures 88-95F 

(31-35C). 

 

 FORECAST- 

  TODAY...Mostly dry or a few light showers. Temperatures 86-94F (30-34C). 

  TONIGHT...Mostly dry conditions or a few light showers. Temperatures 61-69F 

(16-21C). 

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USDA drops U.S. grain supplies

CHICAGO, Illinois (Agriculture.com)--The USDA released neutral-to-bearish grain reserve numbers Friday. 

In its December Supply/Demand Report, the government agency lowered the amount of U.S. corn and soybeans expected to be left over at the start of the new marketing year of September 1, 2011 for corn and beans and June 1, 2011 for wheat.

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Louise Gartner: Wheat struggles to hold support

It was another disappointing week for the grain complex as it was mostly more fund selling to start the week, with any meager attempt to rally only met by more selling and fund liquidation. Wheat could be called the winner, if there was one, as it managed to hold major supports (for the most part) while corn and soybeans just saw more pressure to end the week.

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Tim Hannagan: A continued unwinding

Some strange and some not so strange price action occurred since Tuesday. 

Wednesday and Thursday saw corn and wheat continue their post USDA crop report profit-taking correction with a Wednesday low on corn of 565 and Thursday low of 557 and wheat low Wednesday at 695 and Thursday 7.016. By Thursday's low corn had pulled $.51 off our Tuesday report day high and wheat $.65 off report day highs. 

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China Carries A Big Stick

Following talk of China raising its interest rates to cool its economy, the commodity markets tanked Friday. Specifically, the China news dropped the CME Group corn prices to their daily low limit of 30 cents, soybeans to their limit of 70 cents under, and rice its 50-cent limit. Sugar prices experienced a dramatic 23% price drop from their previous day’s close. Plus, the CRB, a commodities index benchmark, fell 2%, culminating its largest 3-week drop ever.

This highlights the power that China wields on commodity markets.

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