Quick start to spring; Seesaw grains
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It's National Agriculture Week and Thursday was National Ag Day, a day to celebrate your industry and share what you do and highlight why it's important to the U.S. and the world! So, what's your message on Ag Day?
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Weather's been a big story this week in agriculture. Though the dry, warm winter could cause some unique problems for this year's crop, the early spring weather may allow a lot of fieldwork to get going.
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Meanwhile, the markets have seesawed sharply this week ahead of Friday's USDA World Ag Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. Wednesday and Thursday saw a lot of positioning among traders ahead of Friday's numbers.
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This week saw a lot of speculation about whether or not U.S. farmers will be able to raise enough corn to meet growing demand this year. Analysts say 94 million acres is the new 'magic number' for corn this year. Will we reach it?
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Another major factor weighing on the grains -- like all the financial markets lately -- is what's happening in Greece. That nation's debt crisis is causing a lot of apprehension about how the money will be paid back and what it might do to markets around the world.
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China's facing a different type of issue that's causing some grain supply logjams there. A report this week shows a bottleneck between grain supplies and where they're needed most in that nation.
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Back at home, even though corn prices are still at fairly strong levels, one analyst tells Marketeye this week that it's not a good time to "go bearish on ethanol plants." It's a hot topic among farmers this week. What do you think?
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The strong corn market has many farmers looking at expanding corn acres this spring, at least those who attended the 2012 Commodity Classic last week in Nashville, Tennessee. "But, we're also getting a sense that people may be reconsidering -- if they have the flexibility," says Agriculture.com's John Walter.
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There has been a noticeable trend on the CME Group floor in the last few months, and it seems the trade's waiting for the 'next big thing' before the almost yearlong decline in trading volume picks back up, market-watchers say. That could be the March 30 USDA Planting Intentions report.
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"While soybeans have rallied, corn prices have been relatively stagnant during this time. This has increased the soybean/corn price ratio now to the point that it should attract acres away from corn and to soybeans, as we now have a 2.3 ratio," says market analyst Ray Grabanski.
Up-and-down markets & early spring weather are big in ag this week.