Cattle futures have come to life yet again.
A recent price recovery in both live cattle and lean hog futures contracts is offering an opportunity for producers to lock in better prices than existed just a few weeks ago.
Today's Cattle on Feed report is a bearish surprise. USDA’s monthly survey of feedlots found 2.6% more placements in August against the trade expectation of a 2.1% decline.
With more than $.5 billion in hand, Wall Street investor Tad Gordon and feed specialist Dennis Harms created the biggest pig complex the U.S. had ever seen.
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Exports are running 20% higher than last year while beef output is only 2.9% higher than 2016.
The rally in cattle prices has occurred in the face of expectations of increasing supplies throughout late spring and summer, this analyst says.
It’s helpful to examine how dramatic the shift has been in U.S. meat exports.
A top in this market is likely due anytime now, this marketing firm believes.
Hog prices are expected to increase in 2017 even with 3% more pork production.
At a minimum, this firm is bearish through the end of August.