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Fall warm-up ahead

The next five to six days are going to feature no precipitation at all for the vast majority of the Plains, Corn Belt, and Delta, but there is still ample evidence that things will be turning wetter after that for at least a portion of that area. The details on how that wetter pattern evolves though are still very much up in the air.

As was indicated yesterday, the first threat of precipitation will likely arrive for about next Wednesday, but there is big model disagreement on how strong that storm might be. I think that the majority would suggest some fairly decent amounts throughout the entire Mississippi River Valley in a system that may last right through the end of the work-week period. 11-15 day precipitation may very well stay quite good in that same area or just a bit east or southeast from there.

Through it all though, I still cannot get real excited about the precipitation potential for the Plains hard red winter wheat belt, and that would especially be the case for southwestern Kansas and points southward. I think that there will be a little in the Plains for both the 6-10 and 11-15 day time frames, but likely not enough to make a dent in mounting dry weather concerns for that area.

Near term the big temperature story is cold weather for eastern and southeastern parts of the Nation that will culminate in readings running more than 10 degrees below normal for tomorrow through Sunday in southeastern parts of the Nation. Low temperatures below the freezing mark look quite possible across a lot of the Delta and parts of the Southeast by Saturday morning.

The Plains will really be warming up on Saturday though, and by Monday it is very warm not only in the Plains but most of the Corn Belt as well. That warmth is expected to last through the end of the work-week period of next week.

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