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Atlantic hurricane season forecasts grow more dire but offers little drought relief for corn belt
Amid revised Atlantic Hurricane Season forecasts from NOAA and Colorado State University’s (CSU) Tropical Weather & Climate Research department that paint a very dire picture for those in hurricane-prone areas of the U.S., the Atlantic is taking somewhat of a breather in mid-August before activity is expected to explode later in August.
CSU increased their total named storms forecast on August 5th to an astounding 24 named storms. Their forecast calls for 12 hurricanes (including the 2 that have already occurred) and of those remaining 10 hurricanes, 5 are forecast to be major hurricanes (category 3 and above).
NOAA increased their forecast on August 6th calling for 19-25 named storms, 7-11 hurricanes, and 3-6 major hurricanes. Like CSU, this forecast is well above the 30 year average (1981-2010) of 12.1 named storms, 6.4 hurricanes, and 2.7 major hurricanes.
A year ago, Weathertrends360 alerted their clients that the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season was bound to be an active one. The forecast, which remains unchanged from a year ago, calls for 20 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes. Weathertrends360 expects activity in the Atlantic to pick up in earnest towards the latter part of August.
Despite the active Atlantic Hurricane Season, areas of the Midwest and Plains that are falling deeper into drought likely won’t see much benefit. Remnants of tropical systems occasionally make their way into parts of the Midwest and the Plains, however, areas that need the rain, like western Iowa and the western Plains, will largely miss out on any beneficial rains. Weathertrends360 expects expanding drought conditions in the Corn Belt as we head into harvest season.
Weathertrends360 offers a FarmCast subscription for your local forecasts looking out up to 365 days. It can be found for $399 a year at https://www.weathertrends360.com/Successful-Farming-Registration.