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Hit-or-miss showers for the Corn Belt through the end of August

Meaningful rainfall finally arrives in Texas.

Precipitation continued to be hit-or-miss in the Corn Belt in the third week of August, week-ending August 20. Some helpful, but not drought-busting, rain fell across parts of the Midwest from roughly Minnesota down through Missouri. The real winner in the precipitation department was South and West Texas, although very heavy rain in a short window of time caused localized flash flooding. While precipitation was spotty for the Corn Belt, the lack of extreme heat was at least one less headwind for soil moisture.

Looking ahead to the final full week of August, week-ending August 27, temperatures will continue on much the same path trending near to, if not cooler than, normal for the Corn Belt. Unfortunately, in the precipitation department, the outlook for any meaningful rainfall continues to look dim with precipitation trending below normal, according to data from WeatherTrends360. Once again, precipitation will be spotty across the Corn Belt.

wt 360 US forecast 082122 to 082722

While the Corn Belt is left high and dry, the South Central United States, including drought-stricken Texas, will see increased chances of wetter weather. However, we’ll need this pattern of wetter weather to continue for a prolonged period of time, especially for Texas and Oklahoma, for significant drought improvement. As of August 16, 97% of Texas was in some stage of drought or abnormally dry conditions, according to the United States Drought Monitor. 

Drought relief comes with much less risk arriving in several steady rain events, however, another avenue for drought-busting precipitation are tropical cyclones. While the Atlantic Basin has been quiet so far in August, there are indications that the basin is on the verge of awakening. Climatologically speaking, the peak of the hurricane season typically occurs in mid-September. Tropical activity should be on the uptick over the coming weeks in the Atlantic Basin. WeatherTrends360 views the East Coast, from Florida to the Northeast, as the highest risk area for land-falling tropical systems as we head into September. Occasionally, remnants of tropical systems can bring heavy rainfall to portions of the Corn Belt.

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