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Rainfall Over Weekend, Then Clear Conditions to Wrap Up #Harvest17

After the current weather system moves through the Midwest, dry conditions should allow farmers to wrap up this year’s corn and soybean harvests.

The western half of the Midwest – from western Minnesota and Iowa into northwest Missouri – will have light precipitation totaling .10 inch or less, says Dan Hicks, meteorologist at Freese-Notis Weather. That system will move through today and tomorrow before gaining momentum as it hits the eastern Midwest. In eastern Illinois, northern Kentucky, Indiana, Ohio, and southern Missouri, farmers can expect heavier precipitation that ranges from .5 to 1.5 inches.

This weekend’s rain will slow down corn harvest that is already behind in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio, according to this week’s USDA Crop Progress report. The good news is conditions should improve after the rain clears.

“Once we are past the weekend, it looks like a much better weather pattern,” says Hicks. “There will be a better opportunity to increase and finish harvest as we head toward the end of November.”

Temperatures for the next week will be a bit of a yo-yo, going up and down. After today’s warmer temperatures, things will cool down for the weekend into the 30s in the northwestern Midwest, although the Southeast may still enjoy temps in the 60s. Early next week, highs will move up into the low 50s in northern states and 50s and 60s in the South.

Winter Outlook

The forecast for this winter – from December through January – is based on trends for a weak to moderate La Niña, which is what it looks like there will be this winter, says Hicks.

Temperatures this winter are forecast to be below normal in the northern Midwest, Great Lakes, and the northern Plains. “The coldest compared to normal will probably be in parts of the northern Plains and Minnesota,” adds Hicks.

As you move south, there is the greatest potential for above-average temperatures in eastern Texas into the Delta and southeast.

Precipitation is forecast above normal for the northern and central Midwest and the Great Lakes while the west-central and southern Plains come in below average.

“For places like the northern Plains, northern Midwest, and Great Lakes, this means most likely more snowfall,” explains Hicks. “In those areas with below-normal temps and normal to above-normal precipitation, they would certainly have the potential for above-normal snowfall amounts.”

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