Small relief for portions of parched South America

According to Weathertrends360, weekend rain alone is not enough to normalize soil moisture.

Not as dry across the main-producing crop regions of Argentina and Brazil as we’ve seen in recent months, but more rain will be needed to make up for current deficits. A wetter third weekend of January 2021 for Argentina will give way to drier weather in the January 18th through 22nd time frame. Meanwhile, the precipitation pattern flip-flops in Brazil with wetter than normal conditions in the Center-West and South regions, while portions of the Southeast region turn drier for the week-ending January 21st, according to data from Weathertrends360.

Showers over the weekend of January 16th and 17th will, of course, be much welcomed across parts of parched Argentina. However, with the recent months of dry weather, sustained and significant precipitation events are needed to compensate for the dry season-to-date. Surface soil moisture will temporarily benefit from the weekend rain, but a return of drier weather in the January 18th to 22nd work week will quickly deplete soil moisture.

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Southern areas of Brazil will see much needed rain in the week-ending January 21st. Data from Weathertrends360 indicates that wetter trends will extend across Brazil’s Center-West region to Southern Brazil. Meanwhile, the Eastern regions of Brazil will see a turn to drier weather. Although, at this point in the month, wetter weather could be a headwind as early soybean harvest and Safrinha, or second corn crop, planting activities begin in Central Brazil. On the bright side, unfavorable weather in South America has not only made the U.S. crop more appealing for purchasers but has also increased prices.

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