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Summer brings hot and dry weather to the northern Plains

Heat and dryness deepen drought and could threaten crops during sensitive development phases.

June 1 heralded the start of the meteorological summer and temperatures have responded across much of the Corn Belt with highs in the 80s (°F.), 90s, and even 100s. Excessive heat, while not directly impactful for the corn crop at this time, which is 95% planted as of May 30, will have consequences for soil moisture that is depleted quickly in hot and dry conditions. While showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast for the drought-stricken northern Plains, precipitation will be of the hit-or-miss variety with no prolonged rain events expected.

According to data from WeatherTrends360, the week-ending June 10, 2021 will be one of the hottest and driest in more than 30 years for the Corn Belt. Dry soils across the western and parts of the central Corn Belt will help to warm the region more quickly: This acts as a feedback loop with dry soils intensifying heat and heat further drying soils. Although the heat at this stage of season shouldn’t have much of an impact on total yields, there is a risk that the hot and dry cycle will continue as we enter more fragile stages of corn development, like pollination, deeper into summer.


While the northern Plains remain thirsty, the southern Plains, and particularly areas closer to the western Gulf Coast, continue to see a very wet weather pattern. The wet weather pattern is expected to continue in the week-ending June 10, which is likely to cause more issues with flooding across the region.

Not only did June 1 mark the start of the meteorological summer, but it is also the official start of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season. This year, WeatherTrends360 predicts a more active than normal season with storms developing close to land. While Florida is one of the largest threat areas for storms, all hurricane-prone areas should be prepared for potential storms. After a very wet spring along the western Gulf Coast, any tropical systems or influxes of tropical moisture are sure to exacerbate the situation. Wet weather will continue to keep the south-central U.S. cooler than normal.



Be proactive to weather, not reactive. The Weathertrends360 FarmCast offers a long-range forecast up to 365 days in advance. Our statistical, 24 climate cycle, based forecasting model is 85% accurate a year out – better than most companies’ week 2 forecast.  Learn more about how a $369 annual fee for FarmCast may be the best investment you make all year.

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